We’re All the New Pickers in The Farm

What happens when workers are treated as expendable variables rather than valued contributors to the company’s success.

Ivan Monteiro
Product Coalition

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Farmers harvesting in yellow flower field (photo by Michele Naideck @ scop.io)

Today various roles in product development face heightened uncertainty. Even if you’re someone who performs well in your role, there’s no guarantee of continued employment. This leaves many professionals vulnerable to layoffs, and it reflects a systemic issue where workers are seen as expendable variables rather than valued contributors.

The focus on the best interests of shareholders overlook the human element, leading to employees questioning their worth and commitment. It’s crucial to redefine successful product teams and foster a culture of mutual respect and accountability. Prioritizing employee well-being is not just socially responsible, but also essential for long-term success.

The cost of executive responsibility

Over the past four years (2020–23), Meta invested around $50 billion in the metaverse,¹ a pet project of the company’s CEO,² hiring a large amount of people in the process.³ As it became clear ROI didn’t meet expectations and a much larger investment would be required for a much longer time, the company laid off tens of thousands and pivoted towards AI, jumping on the bandwagon with unconvincing results while making questionable claims about making it accessible.⁴

Similar stories have played out in tech: executives and board members draft business plans, teams are staffed accordingly through hiring and re-teaming, and if such plans do not succeed,⁵ companies minimize operational losses, often by laying off workers, in order to satisfy investors while new plans are being made. This has led to a cascading effect among major companies in the sector.

According to Stanford business professor Jeffrey Pfeffer, layoffs have become a socially contagious behavior for companies. When one downsizes, board members of its competitors wonder why they are not following suit.

If it appears as if an entire sector is experiencing a downward shift, Pfeffer argues, it takes the focus off of any single individual company — which provides cover for layoffs that are undertaken to make up for bad decisions that led to investments or strategies not paying off.⁶

It has come to be expected as part of the game, although the long-term consequences are much bigger than the short-term benefits. I have written before on the negative long-term impacts, to which I add Jack Kelly’s argument in favor of companies being socially conscious: if cost-cutting measures are warranted, C-suite and high earners should be considered first for lay-offs in order to reduce the number of people affected. This is first and foremost a pragmatic consideration, beyond the issue of responsibility for past decisions taken. Says Kelly:

Not only do the senior-level professionals earn lush salaries, they are also highly compensated with stock options. Their separation from the payroll would save a fortune compared to the average worker.⁷

This is particularly meaningful now, as executive pay rose disproportionately compared to other workers over the past 30 years.⁸ The Economic Policy Institute notes CEO-to-worker compensation ratio reached 344-to-1 in 2022 — for reference, the prevalent ratio in 1965 was 21-to-1. They further note

[c]umulatively, however, from 1978–2022, top CEO compensation shot up 1,209.2% compared with a 15.3% increase in a typical worker’s compensation.⁹

Denim overalls, not vicuna suits

Broadly speaking, companies’ internal structure give priority to shareholder opinions, and executive pay is connected to performance. That means executive performance is measured by ROI for shareholders.

In this context, workers are a variable: a requirement to get the job done, but once the job is done they become a maintenance cost. As such, worker retention is only a requirement if the costs of layoffs plus new talent acquisition and training are higher than the costs for talent retention over the period under consideration.

This resonates with Meltem Naz Kaso Coskun, who thinks positions in research and development (R&D) structure to play either a support or core role. To her, people in support roles should think of themselves as temporary, like the farm pickers of a century ago.

If we draw parallels between Spotify’s approach to hiring and laying off and seasonal work dynamics, we see this: The rapid growth that required a multitude of roles, including UX Researchers, mirrors the influx of labor during peak seasons in agriculture. However, as the need for massive innovation subsides, a leaner, more adaptable team remains — a concept reminiscent of seasonal employment.¹⁰

Amanda Claypool¹¹ argues that in order to better survive in this environment — in order to increase your chances of being selected for an interview and move further in the hiring process, retaining employment, and progressing in your career — you must be able to quantify your impact, to put an ROI value on your resume.

In other words, being able to say how much you pick per hour.

Coskun asks us to consider our position in our jobs and question if we really are indispensable — and if so, by how much. Are we serving a wave of innovation, or are we just a part of teams that sustain and refine products?

And yet, given the waves of mass layoffs that affect both support and core roles, one could argue every position is at risk when engineers with decades of in-house experience are laid off by email.

Perhaps that’s why we see two different behaviors emerging:

  • The company is successful in its plans but lays off workers anyway.¹²
  • The company hires workers to remove them from the market, not to accomplish business goals.¹³
Linkedin post by Derrick Schultz on Jan 30, 2024: “We no longer live in a world where our company doing well financially implies our job is not at risk. Company not meeting financial targets? You might be fired. Company exceeding targets? You might be fired. We need better worker protections, especially in the US (but also everywhere).”
Derrick Schultz @ linkedin, Jan 30, 2024.

In both cases, there’s a common theme of workers’ careers being impacted by things that have absolutely nothing to do with their performance at work, or their company’s financial health and market performance.

So if employees are not part of the fashionable in-crowd, and their pay hasn’t grown at a proportional rate, and job stability is unreliable, and good performance doesn’t ensure retention, then what should they expect to get in return for their commitment to the company’s goals? And why should they care about what the company wants to achieve?

The role of a team

By comparing technology roles like UX Research to seasonal work rather than consultancy, there is a lack of a safety net for seasonal workers. Unlike consultants, who maintain a client focus, tech employees may feel like they’re part of the team, until layoffs occur. This reality introduces uncertainty, fear, and low self-esteem.

Besides highlighting the need for worker protection, Coskun’s arguments raise two questions: What is a business-crucial role? and Why being part of the team matters? It’s impossible to define what a business-crucial role is without clarifying what the business is trying to achieve.

Take Google search as an example. These days “[it] is part encyclopedia and part predictive engine, guessing what you might be typing or thinking, serving information based on what others before you typed.”¹⁴ That kind of functionality requires programmers more than UX designers. But the monetization drive to prioritize other Google products above the actual results users seek may require marketing professionals more than programmers – and may even put them off from wanting to work on it.

As for being part of the team, group integration is the first step towards building great product. Research shows¹⁵ how team bonding at companies have an impact in product quality. It enables productivity, better problem solving, smarter risk-taking, increases creativity and innovation potential. For employees, they feel happier, it lowers their risk for burnout, and they can access more personal and professional growth opportunities.

Marty Cagan constantly reminds us:

Good teams have a compelling product vision that they pursue with a missionary-like passion. Bad teams are mercenaries.¹⁶

Farmers harvesting in yellow flower field (photo by Michele Naideck @ scop.io)

When you don’t feel like your participation is valued by the team and/or the company, you provide less input and become disengaged with the product. When teams feel the company is not committed to them, their engagement decreases and they become people who just take orders. Employees who feel they’re replaceable have reason to become mercenaries.

When companies themselves become mercenaries, why should employees be any different? If it’s a dog eat dog world for companies with a much larger pocket than an individual contributor, it’s even more so for the employees themselves.

Being part of the team, of the organization, of the company — it means we help each other keep our bearings. We tell hard truths when necessary, as we put in the extra effort and commitment to make sure the product is as good as we can make it.

It’s about creating a future filled with success, and the only way companies and people are going to get there — is together.

Notes

¹ Felix Richter @ Statista, Meta’s Money Pit: Metaverse Bet Bleeds Billions, Oct 26, 2023.

² Andrew Bosworth, CTO at Meta, makes it clear the ideas the company is pursuing come from the CEO: “If you’ve ever met Mark Zuckerberg… it’s not a bottoms-up thing. The ideas that we’re pursuing are [his] ideas first and foremost. That’s not to say that he’s not open to new ones — of course he is and that’s a form of bottom-up. People can bring ideas to him, and he internalizes them and acts on them or not.” Andrew Bosworth @ Lenny’s Podcast, Making Meta | Andrew ‘Boz’ Bosworth (CTO), Mar 03, 2024.

³ Stacy Jo Dixon @ Statista, Number of full-time Meta Platforms employees from 2004 to 2023, Feb 12, 2024. Using these numbers as reference, the company hired approximately 41.000 employees between 2020 and 2022, and laid off around 19.000 of them in 2023.

⁴ Miles Klee @ Rolling Stone, The Metaverse Flopped, So Mark Zuckerberg Is Pivoting to Empty AI Hype, Jan 21, 2024.

This analysis from TechReport puts the number of tech startups that fold in the first year of existence in the United States at 90%. If we can extrapolate from that number, one could reasonably assume that 3 in every 4 projects in tech companies fail.

⁶ Bobby Allyn @ NPR, Nearly 25,000 tech workers were laid off in the first weeks of 2024. Why is that?, Jan 28, 2024.

⁷ Jack Kelly @ Forbes, Should CEOs And C-Suite Executives Be Let Go Before Laying Off Workers?, Dec 28, 2022.

⁸ According to the Stanford Graduate School of Business (When CEOs Are Paid for Bad Performance, Feb 01, 2005), between 1992 and 2004 the average compensation for a CEO of an S&P 500 firm grew from 82 times to more than 400 times the average salary of non-executive workers.

⁹ Josh Bivens and Jori Kandra @ Economic Policy Institute, CEO pay slightly declined in 2022, Sep 21, 2023

¹⁰ Meltem Naz Kaso Coskun @ UX Collective, What Spotify’s latest layoff means for a career in UX Research, Dec 11, 2023.

¹¹ Amanda Claypool @ medium, Your Resume is Worthless — Skills-Based Hiring is The Future of Work, Jan 29, 2024.

¹² In February 2023, Google reported a record $294.2 billion for 2022 just about two weeks after they announced a mass layoff of 12.000 employees. Microsoft reported $198 billion revenue for 2022 and laid off 10.000 employees in January 2023. Amazon laid off more than 27.000 employees in 2023 after 2022 saw it’s net profit reduced by $2.7 billion to a total of $514 billion (the company attributed part of the loss to its investment in Rivian, an electric vehicle startup).

¹³ Hasan Chowdhury @ Business Insider, Google and Meta over-hired thousands of employees who do ‘fake work,’ says PayPal Mafia’s Keith Rabois, Mar 8, 2023; and Grace Kay @ Business Insider, A laid-off Meta worker says the company paid her to not work: They were ‘hoarding us like Pokémon cards’, Mar 14, 2023.

¹⁴ Charlie Warzel @ The Atlantic, The Tragedy of Google Search, Sep 22, 2023.

¹⁵ Tracy Middleton @ Atlassian, The importance of teamwork (as proven by science), Jan 25, 2024.

¹⁶ Marty Cagan @ SVPG, Good Product Team / Bad Product Team, June 13, 2014.

I would like to thank Tremis Skeete, Executive Editor of Product Coalition, for his valuable contributions to the editing of this article.

I also thank Product Coalition founder Jay Stansell, who has provided a collaborative product management education environment.

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